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Le système au sud-est d'Hispaniola n'a actuellement que très peu de chance de devenir un cyclone en raison de vents de cisaillement défavorables mais une formation est possible quand il arrivera dans l'Est du Golfe du Mexique la semaine prochaine. Risque de formation dans les 5 jours: 10%. Ce système ne menace pas notre région.
The system southeast of Hispaniola has currently a very low chance of becoming a TC due to unfavorable winds shear but development is possible when it will enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. Chance of formation within 5 days: 10%. This system doesn't threaten our region.
8 am. Possible tropical cyclone during the weekend over eastern Atlantic Ocean. No threat to the West Indies.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 30 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a well-defined low pressure system is located just off the west coast of Senegal, Africa. Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form as the disturbance moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph near the Cabo Verde Islands during the next day or two. This system is expected to bring heavy rains and strong gusty winds to the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Saturday, and if the current development trend continues, Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings will likely be required for these islands later today. Interests on the Cabo Verde Islands should continue to closely monitor the progress of this developing disturbance.
$$ Forecaster Avila
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2018083000/ecmwf_uv850_vort_eatl_11.png
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URL du flux | Feed's: URL: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index-at.xml
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Le système au sud-est d'Hispaniola n'a actuellement que très peu de chance de devenir un cyclone en raison de vents de cisaillement défavorables mais une formation est possible quand il arrivera dans l'Est du Golfe du Mexique la semaine prochaine. Risque de formation dans les 5 jours: 10%. Ce système ne menace pas notre région.
The system southeast of Hispaniola has currently a very low chance of becoming a TC due to unfavorable winds shear but development is possible when it will enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. Chance of formation within 5 days: 10%. This system doesn't threaten our region.
Potential Tropical Cyclone / Tropical Depression Six / Future Florence
Éléments de traduction: Pluies lourdes=fortes pluies | Vents gusty=vents en rafales | Montres=vigilances |
National Hurricane Center en Français (Attention! Traduction automatique)
Bulletins aux environs de 2, 8, 14 et 20 h
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 30 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a well-defined low pressure system is located just off the west coast of Senegal, Africa. Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form as the disturbance moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph near the Cabo Verde Islands during the next day or two. This system is expected to bring heavy rains and strong gusty winds to the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Saturday, and if the current development trend continues, Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings will likely be required for these islands later today. Interests on the Cabo Verde Islands should continue to closely monitor the progress of this developing disturbance.
- Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$ Forecaster Avila
at 2, 8 am and 2, 8 pm
- Cyclone Florence dans 192 h (8 jours) loin au large de nos îles.
- Un autre système en formation près des côtes d'Afrique.
- Cyclone Florence within 192 h or 8 days far off our islands
- Another system starting behind near coast of Africa...
Pour avoir l'image du jour, changez la date dans l'URL (en rouge). En jaune, 00 indique le "run" de minuit (UTC) et 12 celui de midi. Pour obtenir la carte GFS, changez ecmwf (en bleu) par gfs. En vert: changez 11 par 5 pour avoir les prévisions à 96 h (4 jours).
To get the picture of the day, change the date in the URL (in red). In yellow, 00 is the run of midnight (UTC) and 12 is noon.To get the gfs map, change ecmwf (in blue) into gfs. In green: Change 11 (240 h) into 5 (96 h).
URL du flux | Feed's: URL: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index-at.xml
Autres flux RSS du NHC | Other NHC's RSS feeds
Traduction automatique du National Hurricane Center mobile (léger)
Traduction automatique outlook NHC (texte)
Recevoir les bulletins du NHC par email | Get NHC outlooks and advisories via email: http://mail.hwn.org/mailman/listinfo/atlantic_hwn.org
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