On attend maintenant seulement 12 systèmes nommés dont 6 Tempêtes Tropicales dont 5 ouragans et dont 1 ouragan majeur. La tempête sub-tropicale Alberto et les ouragans Beryl et Chris étant inclus dans ces chiffres, on ne devrait plus voir (en principe) que 9 systèmes nommés dont 5 Tempêtes Tropicales, et 3 ouragans dont un seul majeur cette année.
Mais rappelez-vous qu'il en suffit d'un seul à passer sur notre île pour nous laisser un goût amer...
Sources / Original: https://blog.myfoxhurricane.com/2018/08/02/colorado-state-university-releases-updated-2018-hurricane-outlook/
As we enter the hurricane season, forecast updates are issued by NOAA and Colorado State University. NOAA will release its update in the coming weeks, but the CSU has already released its own this afternoon.
With records of low water temperatures and winds shear stronger than normal across the Atlantic, it is not a surprise that they have tempered their forecasts compared to pre-season forecasts. It should also be remembered that an El Niño event is about to form which does not favor the formation of tropical cyclones. Only 12 named systems are now expected, including 6 Tropical Storms including 5 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane. As sub-tropical storm Alberto and hurricanes Beryl and Chris are included in these numbers, we should no longer see (in principle) only 9 named systems, including 5 Tropical Storms, and 3 hurricanes, including only one major this year.
But remember that it only takes one to pass on our island to leave us a bad taste ...