VIGILANCE & ALERTES
WATCHES, WARNINGS, ALERTS
SITES OFFICIELS | OFFICIAL WEBSITES: METEO-FRANCE & NHC
NOUVEAU ! Simple et léger, site miniNBBCmeteo pour tous téléphones mobiles. Fonctionne aussi bien sur Smartphones, Iphones, Windows, tablettes, etc... et même sur PC.
NEW! Simple and lite, miniNBBCmeteo is a website for all mobile phones. It runs on Smartphones, iPhones, Windows, tablets and PC as well.
http://mini-nbbc-meteo.blogspot.com ou http://goo.gl/39Vh9M
notre région (St Martin exactement au centre) / Our region (St Martin is exactly in the center)
CYCLONES
RESTONS VIGILANTS... UN SYSTÈME POURRAIT MENACER NOS ÎLES EN DÉBUT DE SEMAINE PROCHAINE...
REMAIN VIGILANT... A SYSTEM COULD THREATEN OUR ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK
À SURVEILLER DE PRÈS
1. SYSTÈME 1. Une perturbation située à environ 800 km au sud-ouest des Îles du Cap-Vert a de bonnes chances - 60%- de se développement dans les prochains 5 jours. Elle se déplace maintenant vers l'ouest et pourrait menacer nos îles aux alentours du mardi 13 Septembre (semaine prochaine).
2. SYSTÈME 2. Une zone concentrée d'averses et orages associés à une large zone de basse pression se développe environ 350 miles à l'est des îles Leeward (nos îles). Cette activité devrait se déplacer vers l'ouest-nord-ouest, et un développement supplémentaire, le cas échéant, sera lent à se produire au cours des prochains jours.
Commentaires:
Nous arrivons au pic de la saison cyclonique (autour du 10 Septembre)
Actuellement, il n'y a plus aucun cyclone sur le bassin atlantique, mais des perturbations avec un certain potentiel de formation. De plus, les conditions vont rester assez défavorables pour la formation de cyclones sur l'Atlantique Tropical en raison de forts vents d'altitude. Elles pourraient toutefois s'améliorer en début de semaine prochaine.
- En principe, le système 1 devrait passer au nord-est de nos îles mardi prochain. Sa trajectoire présumée le fait passer assez largement au nord-est de nos îles. De plus, s'il se forme, il sera déjà loin.
- Le système 2 approche de nos îles mais ne présente pas de danger particulier à part du mauvais temps (voir météo)
- Aucun de ces 2 systèmes n'est encore suivi comme "invest". Vérifier sur cette carte.
En jaune: Système 2. En orange: Système 1 | Yellow: System 2. Orange: System 1
1. SYSTEM 1. A large but disorganized area of disturbed weather located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a tropical wave. Development of this system, if any, will likely be slow to occur during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become a little more favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while this system moves westward and then west-northwestward into the central Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 %
- Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 %
2. SYSTEME 2. A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure has developed about 350 miles east of the Leeward Islands. This activity is expected to move toward the west-northwest, and additional development, if any, will be slow to occur during the next several days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
- Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
Comments:
- PEAK OF HURRICANE SEASON (around Sept 10)
- Currently, there is no more cyclone in the Atlantic basin but 2 disturbances on the Tropical Atlantic with some potential of development. In addition, the conditions are currently quite unfavorable on the Tropical Atlantic due to strong high-level winds. But ans improvement is expected next week.
- System 1 has a now a good chance of threatening the Lesser Antilles early next week as a Tropical Cyclone (TD or TS). However -in principle- it should pass northeast of the Leewards around Tuesday...
- System 2 is currently approaching our islands. It could produce some bad wx during the next 48 h. Its estimated track is relatively far from our islands. In addition, it is expected to form within several days well north from our region. No danger at first sight.
- These systems are currently not followed as "Invest".
PLEASE, STAY TUNED TO OFFICIAL WEATHER OFFICES!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
http://www.meteofrance.gp/
CYCLONES (Google News)
METEO | WEATHER
En bref...
- Une Onde Tropicale / Perturbation tropicale active pourrait apporter du mauvais temps à partir d'aujourd'hui jusqu'à demain.
- Un autre système pourrait affecter notre région en début de semaine prochaine.
In short...
- A fairly active Tropical Wave/Disturbance could bring bad weather from today until Friday.
- Another rather vigorous system could affect the Lesser Antilles early next week.
MARINE
VENTS & MER | WINDS & SEAS
Southwest Tropical North Atlantic & Caribbean Sea (OFFNT3)
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
Synopsis for the Caribbean Sea & Tropical North Atlantic from 7°N to 22°N
AMZ001-082100-...CORRECTED
SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W 457 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2016
- SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FRI...THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY LATE SAT...AND EXIT W OF THE AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AMZ025 Zone Forecast
AMZ025-082100-
OFFSHORE WATERS LEEWARD ISLANDS-
457 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2016
- TODAY...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- TONIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- FRI...SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- FRI NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- SAT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
- SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
- SUN...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
- SUN NIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- MON...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
- MON NIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
Mise-à-jour:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
Plus d'informations sur le
site (cliquer sur MER SEA)
Liens marine/ Marine links
