BULLETIN FORECAST



jeudi 5 novembre 2015


AUCUNE MENACE SÉRIEUSE EN VUE | NO SERIOUS THREAT EXPECTED
St Martin juste au centre (seules Anguilla & St Barth visibles)
St Martin just in the center (Only Anguilla & St Barth visible)

La perturbation qui aborde très lentement nos îles n'apporte pas beaucoup d'orages et de fortes pluies pour le moment. Mais ça peut évoluer plus tard.
Ce système a quelques petites chances (30%) de devenir un cyclone en début de semaine prochaine au nord de Porto-Rico.
The disturbance that reaches our islands very slowly does not bring a lot of storms and heavy rains currently. But that may change later.
A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Leeward Islands extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Leeward Islands while the system moves through the area. By late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early next week while it moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 % * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 %

MER: agitée à très agitée 1,5 à 2 mètres au large. Prudence recommandée aux petits bateaux et baigneurs.
SEAS: Moderate: waves 1.5 to 2 metres or 5 to 6 feet. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution.

AUCUNE MENACE EN VUE | NO THREAT EXPECTED
St Martin juste au centre (seules Anguilla & St Barth visibles)
St Martin just in the center (Only Anguilla & St Barth visible)
La nouvelle perturbation (assez active) va aborder nos îles bientôt. De fortes averses et des orages sont probables (90% de chances). Ce système pourrait stagner sur notre région jusqu'à la semaine prochaine avec cependant des accalmies.
Une zone de basse pression pourrait se former juste au nord de Porto-Rico en fin de weekend. Ce système se est prévu de se déplacer vers le nord-ouest. Chances de formation dans les 5 jours: 20%. Danger pour nos îles: aucun.
The new disturbance (relatively active) is reaching our islands. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are likely (90% chances). This system could stagnate over our region until next week.
An area of low pressure could form near or to the north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola late this weekend. Some slow development of this system is possible early next week while it moves northwestward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 %... Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 %. No threat to our islands.